Overview
Project starts and main contract awards weakened against the previous year. On a more positive note, detailed planning approvals performed relatively strongly against 2022 levels.
Totalling £672m, work starting on-site in Yorkshire & the Humber during the quarter to March fell 44 per cent against the preceding quarter to stand 67 per cent down on a year ago. Underlying (less than £100 m in value) work starting on-site slipped back 57 per cent against the preceding quarter on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis and 65 per cent compared with a year ago. Unlike the preceding quarter and the previous year, there were no major (£100m or more) project-starts.
Adding up to £1.285bn, contract awards in Yorkshire & the Humber decreased 15 per cent against the preceding quarter to stand 32 per cent lower than a year ago. Underlying main contract awards, at £1.285bn, fell 12 per cent (SA) against the preceding quarter and 27 per cent compared with a year ago. Unlike the preceding quarter and the previous year, there were no major projects reaching the main contract awarded stage.
Detailed planning approvals totalled £2.936bn in Yorkshire & the Humber, a 21 per cent increase compared with the preceding quarter to stand 69 per cent up on a year ago. Major projects totalled £1.484bn during the period, a 148 per cent increase against the preceding quarter to stand 642 per cent higher than a year ago. Underlying approvals experienced a weak period, declining 18 per cent (SA) against the preceding quarter and decreasing 5 per cent compared with last year’s levels.
Sector Analysis – Project-Starts
Private housing accounted for 48 per cent of work starting on-site in Yorkshire & the Humber during the quarter to March, despite this the value fell 48 per cent compared with the previous year. Private housing construction-starts added up to £321m during the period. Social Housing starts, at £61m, also weakened having fallen 83 per cent compared with last year’s levels. Social Housing accounted for 9 per cent of the total value, making it third most active sector in the region.
Education accounted for the second-highest proportion (12 per cent) of work starting on-site during the quarter to March, with the value adding up to £82m. The sector experienced 61 per cent growth compared with a year ago. Education was the only growth sector in the region for project-starts. Utilities work commencing on-site, adding up to £8m, experienced the sharpest decrease of any sector (-88 per cent) against the previous year to account for 1 per cent of the total value in the region.
Value of project-starts in the Yorkshire & the Humber during the three months to March 2023 by sector
Sector |
Value of Project-Starts (£m) |
Change on previous year |
Change on two years ago |
%Share |
---|---|---|---|---|
Private Housing |
321 |
-48% |
-66% |
48% |
Education |
82 |
61% |
85% |
12% |
Social Housing |
61 |
-83% |
-33% |
9% |
Industrial |
54 |
-76% |
-26% |
8% |
Hotel & Leisure |
35 |
-74% |
-7% |
5% |
Infrastructure |
34 |
-87% |
-79% |
5% |
Health |
28 |
-42% |
-69% |
4% |
Offices |
27 |
-72% |
-87% |
4% |
Retail |
11 |
-76% |
-67% |
2% |
Community & Amenity |
11 |
-83% |
3192% |
2% |
Utilities |
8 |
-88% |
-84% |
1% |
Total |
672 |
-67% |
-64% |
Sector Analysis – Detailed Planning Approvals
Private housing detailed planning approvals, adding up to £1.655bn, experienced a triple-digit increase (+168 per cent) compared with a year ago to account for 56 per cent of the region’s total value. The biggest contributor to the growth was the approval of the £400m , Urbanite Living (Leeds development (Project ID: 22114563). Health at £143m was another sector to experience triple-digit growth, here the value of project-approvals increased 290 per cent against 2022 levels to account for 5 per cent of the total value.
Hotel & Leisure accounted for the third highest proportion (14 per cent) of work reaching the planning approval stage during the quarter, with the value adding up to £405m. The sector experienced 260 per cent growth against the previous. Elsewhere, Industrial at £440m experienced a 30 per cent increase on 2022 levels to total £440m, accounting for a 15 per cent share of the total value.
Value of project approvals in the Yorkshire & the Humber during the three months to March 2023 by sector
Sector |
Value of Project-Approvals (£m) |
Change on previous year |
Change on two years ago |
%Share |
---|---|---|---|---|
Private Housing |
1655 |
168% |
113% |
56% |
Industrial |
440 |
30% |
150% |
15% |
Hotel & Leisure |
405 |
260% |
727% |
14% |
Health |
143 |
290% |
157% |
5% |
Offices |
80 |
41% |
32% |
3% |
Social Housing |
73 |
-63% |
-68% |
2% |
Community & Amenity |
41 |
52% |
13% |
1% |
Infrastructure |
34 |
59% |
-56% |
1% |
Retail |
32 |
-45% |
11% |
1% |
Utilities |
22 |
-90% |
-21% |
1% |
Education |
13 |
-76% |
-90% |
0% |
Total |
2936 |
69% |
78% |
Forecast Construction-Starts for Yorkshire & the Humber
Underlying project-starts (£ m) |
Change on previous year |
|
---|---|---|
Quarter 1, 2022 |
1,921 |
17% |
Quarter 2, 2022 |
1,427 |
1% |
Quarter 3, 2022 p |
1,154 |
-10% |
Quarter 4, 2022 f |
1,087 |
25% |
Quarter 1, 2023 f |
672 |
-65% |
Quarter 2, 2023 f |
1,245 |
-13% |
Quarter 3, 2023 f |
1,192 |
3% |
Quarter 4, 2023 f |
1,171 |
8% |
Quarter 1, 2024 f |
1,422 |
112% |
Quarter 2, 2024 f |
1,382 |
11% |
Quarter 3, 2024 f |
1,411 |
18% |
Quarter 4, 2024 f |
1,323 |
13% |
Quarter 1, 2022 |
1,921 |
17% |
Quarter 2, 2022 |
1,427 |
1% |
Quarter 3, 2022 p |
1,154 |
-10% |
Quarter 4, 2022 f |
1,087 |
25% |
Note: Underlying projects are schemes with a construction value of £250,000 to £100m. Forecast updated in April 2023 p – provisional, f – forecast.
Source: Glenigan