Yorkshire & the Humber

 

Overview

Project starts and main contract awards weakened against the previous year. On a more positive note, detailed planning approvals performed relatively strongly against 2022 levels.

Totalling £672m, work starting on-site in Yorkshire & the Humber during the quarter to March fell 44 per cent against the preceding quarter to stand 67 per cent down on a year ago. Underlying (less than £100 m in value) work starting on-site slipped back 57 per cent against the preceding quarter on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis and 65 per cent compared with a year ago. Unlike the preceding quarter and the previous year, there were no major (£100m or more) project-starts.

Adding up to £1.285bn, contract awards in Yorkshire & the Humber decreased 15 per cent against the preceding quarter to stand 32 per cent lower than a year ago. Underlying main contract awards, at £1.285bn, fell 12 per cent (SA) against the preceding quarter and 27 per cent compared with a year ago. Unlike the preceding quarter and the previous year, there were no major projects reaching the main contract awarded stage.

Detailed planning approvals totalled £2.936bn in Yorkshire & the Humber, a 21 per cent increase compared with the preceding quarter to stand 69 per cent up on a year ago. Major projects totalled £1.484bn during the period, a 148 per cent increase against the preceding quarter to stand 642 per cent higher than a year ago. Underlying approvals experienced a weak period, declining 18 per cent (SA) against the preceding quarter and decreasing 5 per cent compared with last year’s levels.

Sector Analysis – Project-Starts

Private housing accounted for 48 per cent of work starting on-site in Yorkshire & the Humber during the quarter to March, despite this the value fell 48 per cent compared with the previous year. Private housing construction-starts added up to £321m during the period. Social Housing starts, at £61m, also weakened having fallen 83 per cent compared with last year’s levels. Social Housing accounted for 9 per cent of the total value, making it third most active sector in the region.

Education accounted for the second-highest proportion (12 per cent) of work starting on-site during the quarter to March, with the value adding up to £82m. The sector experienced 61 per cent growth compared with a year ago. Education was the only growth sector in the region for project-starts. Utilities work commencing on-site, adding up to £8m, experienced the sharpest decrease of any sector (-88 per cent) against the previous year to account for 1 per cent of the total value in the region.

 

 

Value of project-starts in the Yorkshire & the Humber during the three months to March 2023 by sector

 

Sector

Value of Project-Starts (£m)

Change on previous year

Change on two years ago

%Share

Private Housing

321

-48%

-66%

48%

Education

82

61%

85%

12%

Social Housing

61

-83%

-33%

9%

Industrial

54

-76%

-26%

8%

Hotel & Leisure

35

-74%

-7%

5%

Infrastructure

34

-87%

-79%

5%

Health

28

-42%

-69%

4%

Offices

27

-72%

-87%

4%

Retail

11

-76%

-67%

2%

Community & Amenity

11

-83%

3192%

2%

Utilities

8

-88%

-84%

1%

Total

672

-67%

-64%

 

 

Sector Analysis – Detailed Planning Approvals

Private housing detailed planning approvals, adding up to £1.655bn, experienced a triple-digit increase (+168 per cent) compared with a year ago to account for 56 per cent of the region’s total value. The biggest contributor to the growth was the approval of the £400m , Urbanite Living (Leeds  development (Project ID: 22114563). Health at £143m was another sector to experience triple-digit growth, here the value of project-approvals increased 290 per cent against 2022 levels to account for 5 per cent of the total value.

Hotel & Leisure accounted for the third highest proportion (14 per cent) of work reaching the planning approval stage during the quarter, with the value adding up to £405m. The sector experienced 260 per cent growth against the previous. Elsewhere, Industrial at £440m experienced a 30 per cent increase on 2022 levels to total £440m, accounting for a 15 per cent share of the total value.

 

 

Value of project approvals in the Yorkshire & the Humber during the three months to March 2023 by sector

 

Sector

Value of Project-Approvals (£m)

Change on previous year

Change on two years ago

%Share

Private Housing

1655

168%

113%

56%

Industrial

440

30%

150%

15%

Hotel & Leisure

405

260%

727%

14%

Health

143

290%

157%

5%

Offices

80

41%

32%

3%

Social Housing

73

-63%

-68%

2%

Community & Amenity

41

52%

13%

1%

Infrastructure

34

59%

-56%

1%

Retail

32

-45%

11%

1%

Utilities

22

-90%

-21%

1%

Education

13

-76%

-90%

0%

Total

2936

69%

78%

 

 

Forecast Construction-Starts for Yorkshire & the Humber

 

 

Underlying project-starts (£ m)

Change on previous year

Quarter 1, 2022

1,921

17%

Quarter 2, 2022

1,427

1%

Quarter 3, 2022 p

1,154

-10%

Quarter 4, 2022 f

1,087

25%

Quarter 1, 2023 f

672

-65%

Quarter 2, 2023 f

1,245

-13%

Quarter 3, 2023 f

1,192

3%

Quarter 4, 2023 f

1,171

8%

Quarter 1, 2024 f

1,422

112%

Quarter 2, 2024 f

1,382

11%

Quarter 3, 2024 f

1,411

18%

Quarter 4, 2024 f

1,323

13%

Quarter 1, 2022

1,921

17%

Quarter 2, 2022

1,427

1%

Quarter 3, 2022 p

1,154

-10%

Quarter 4, 2022 f

1,087

25%

Note: Underlying projects are schemes with a construction value of £250,000 to £100m.  Forecast updated in April 2023 p – provisional, f – forecast.
Source: Glenigan

 


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